Parabolic SAR fliplong
Resultados de Backtest @ WMT β€’ 1 Minute

Curva de Equidad

El backtest cubre 37 days de datos WMT β€’ 1 Minute (Walmart Inc.), desde June 24, 2025 hasta July 31, 2025.

La curva de equidad es el rendimiento de la estrategia a lo largo del tiempo. Debes compararla con el rendimiento de Compra y MantΓ©n del activo. En general, quieres que el Γ‘rea azul estΓ© bien por encima del Γ‘rea gris.

El drawdown es cuΓ‘ntas pΓ©rdidas (realizadas o no realizadas) ha tenido la estrategia si se compara con el pico mΓ‘s alto de equidad. Compara esto con el drawdown del activo para ver si tu estrategia hace un trabajo decente de aislarte de la volatilidad bajista. En general, el Γ‘rea roja debe estar bien dentro del Γ‘rea gris.

Curva de Equidad
Estrategia
Activo
Drawdown de Estrategia
Drawdown de Activo

Entonces, hemos hecho backtest de Parabolic SAR flip en 37 days de velas WMT β€’ 1 Minute.Β Este backtest resultΓ³ en 448 posiciones, con una tasa de ganancia promedio de 37% y una relaciΓ³n riesgo-recompensa de 1.62.Β Si asumes que la relaciΓ³n riesgo-recompensa de 1.62 se mantiene, necesitas una tasa de ganancia mΓ­nima de 38.2 para ser rentable. Β‘AsΓ­ que estΓ‘s jodido!Β Las mΓ©tricas clave son las siguientes:

  1. Retorno Total: Retorno Total: -0.80% vs -0.70% para el activo
  2. MΓ‘ximo Drawdown: MΓ‘ximo Drawdown: -2.90% vs -5.10% para el activo
  3. ExposiciΓ³n: ExposiciΓ³n: 55.10% tiempo en el mercado
  4. Tasa de Ganancia: Tasa de Ganancia: 37.0%, vs 38.2% mΓ­nimo
  5. RelaciΓ³n Riesgo/Recompensa: RelaciΓ³n Riesgo/Recompensa: 1.62

Con esa exposiciΓ³n en mente, puedes ver que para 55% tiempo-en-mercado, obtienes 114.29% del potencial alcista del activo, y 56.86% del potencial bajista del activo.

Parabolic SAR flip: entrar en una posiciΓ³n cuando

All of the following: # India
  1min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 1min Chart(close)

Parabolic SAR flip: salir de una posiciΓ³n cuando

Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.

Parabolic SAR flip @ WMT β€’ 1 Minute (-0.8%) explicado por Mike

Mike

Autor

Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy on WMT is giving me mixed vibes! πŸ€” The volume is pretty sick with 24 trades per day - that's the kind of action I'm looking for at Wendy's when we're slinging burgers! πŸ”

The stats are interesting but kinda sus tbh. That 37% win rate isn't great, but peep this - the average wins are bigger than the average losses (0.14% vs -0.08%). That's actually not terrible for scalping! The max drawdown is only -2.9% which is pretty chill compared to some of my previous YOLO plays πŸ˜…

Here's the thing though bros - the overall performance is slightly worse than buy & hold (-0.8% vs -0.7%). Not exactly the tendies we're looking for! But that Win Rate Leeway being positive is actually pretty bullish - means the strategy has room to breathe even with its current metrics. πŸ’ͺ

I might experiment with this on paper trading first before throwing my hard-earned Wendy's cash at it. Maybe add some extra confirmation indicators or tweak the exit rules? Always gotta protect that capital so we can buy that Lambo someday! πŸš€

MΓ©tricas tabulares de Parabolic SAR flip sometido a backtest en WMT β€’ 1 Minute

Total de Operaciones448Beneficio Neto-0.8%Beneficio Compra y MantΓ©n-0.7%
Tasa de Ganancia37%Ratio Riesgo/Recompensa1.62MΓ‘ximo Drawdown-2.9%
MΓ‘ximo Drawdown del Activo-5.1%ExposiciΓ³n55.1%Promedio de Velas en PosiciΓ³n11.3
Ratio de SharpeRatio de SortinoVolatilidad Realizadaβ€”
Racha MΓ‘xima de Ganancia6Racha Promedio de Ganancia1.6Racha MΓ‘xima de PΓ©rdida11
Racha Promedio de PΓ©rdida2.6Promedio de Operaciones por Mes726.5Promedio de Operaciones por DΓ­a24.2
Desv. Est. del Retorno0.2Desv. Est. de la PΓ©rdida0.1Desv. Est. de la Ganancia0.1
Expectativa-0.0Beta0.51

Todos los backtests para Parabolic SAR flip

common.strategyexposiciΓ³nrendimiento vs activodrawdown vs activotasa de gananciarecompensa/ riesgo
BTCUSDT β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x(-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x361.5
EURUSD β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x(-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x371.3
GLD β€’ 1 Minute
56%(-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x(-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x411.1
NVDA β€’ 1 Minute
56%(11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x(-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x402.0
PLTR β€’ 1 Minute
56%(-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x(-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x381.5
SPY β€’ 1 Minute
58%(1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x(-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x411.6
TSLA β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x(-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x381.5
WMT β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x(-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x371.6
BTCUSDT β€’ 10 Minutes
57%(3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x(-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x391.6
EURUSD β€’ 10 Minutes
56%(-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x(-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x401.4
GLD β€’ 10 Minutes
57%(22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x(-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x461.6
NVDA β€’ 10 Minutes
58%(24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x(-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x441.4
PLTR β€’ 10 Minutes
60%(121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x(-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x471.5
SPY β€’ 10 Minutes
59%(7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x(-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x441.4
TSLA β€’ 10 Minutes
56%(86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x(-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x431.7
WMT β€’ 10 Minutes
58%(37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x(-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x451.7
BTCUSDT β€’ 1 Hour
55%(40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x(-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x421.6
EURUSD β€’ 1 Hour
55%(-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x(-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x391.5
GLD β€’ 1 Hour
55%(61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x(-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x431.8
NVDA β€’ 1 Hour
58%(1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x(-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x471.8
PLTR β€’ 1 Hour
55%(538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x(-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x422.0
SPY β€’ 1 Hour
61%(70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x(-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x451.6
TSLA β€’ 1 Hour
56%(5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x(-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x442.4
WMT β€’ 1 Hour
57%(100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x(-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x431.8
BTCUSDT β€’ Daily
57%(379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x(-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x432.3
EURUSD β€’ Daily
55%(-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x(-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x371.7
GLD β€’ Daily
57%(301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x(-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x461.9
NVDA β€’ Daily
59%(14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x(-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x462.0
PLTR β€’ Daily
57%(559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x(-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x492.7
SPY β€’ Daily
65%(117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x(-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x471.4
TSLA β€’ Daily
57%(440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x(-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x372.6
WMT β€’ Daily
59%(476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x(-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x451.6