El backtest cubre 37 days de datos WMT β’ 1 Minute (Walmart Inc.), desde June 24, 2025 hasta July 31, 2025.
La curva de equidad es el rendimiento de la estrategia a lo largo del tiempo. Debes compararla con el rendimiento de Compra y MantΓ©n del activo. En general, quieres que el Γ‘rea azul estΓ© bien por encima del Γ‘rea gris.
El drawdown es cuΓ‘ntas pΓ©rdidas (realizadas o no realizadas) ha tenido la estrategia si se compara con el pico mΓ‘s alto de equidad. Compara esto con el drawdown del activo para ver si tu estrategia hace un trabajo decente de aislarte de la volatilidad bajista. En general, el Γ‘rea roja debe estar bien dentro del Γ‘rea gris.
Entonces, hemos hecho backtest de Parabolic SAR flip en 37 days de velas WMT β’ 1 Minute.Β Este backtest resultΓ³ en 448 posiciones, con una tasa de ganancia promedio de 37% y una relaciΓ³n riesgo-recompensa de 1.62.Β Si asumes que la relaciΓ³n riesgo-recompensa de 1.62 se mantiene, necesitas una tasa de ganancia mΓnima de 38.2 para ser rentable. Β‘AsΓ que estΓ‘s jodido!Β Las mΓ©tricas clave son las siguientes:
Con esa exposiciΓ³n en mente, puedes ver que para 55% tiempo-en-mercado, obtienes 114.29% del potencial alcista del activo, y 56.86% del potencial bajista del activo.
All of the following: # India 1min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 1min Chart(close)
Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.
Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy on WMT is giving me mixed vibes! π€ The volume is pretty sick with 24 trades per day - that's the kind of action I'm looking for at Wendy's when we're slinging burgers! π
The stats are interesting but kinda sus tbh. That 37% win rate isn't great, but peep this - the average wins are bigger than the average losses (0.14% vs -0.08%). That's actually not terrible for scalping! The max drawdown is only -2.9% which is pretty chill compared to some of my previous YOLO plays π
Here's the thing though bros - the overall performance is slightly worse than buy & hold (-0.8% vs -0.7%). Not exactly the tendies we're looking for! But that Win Rate Leeway being positive is actually pretty bullish - means the strategy has room to breathe even with its current metrics. πͺ
I might experiment with this on paper trading first before throwing my hard-earned Wendy's cash at it. Maybe add some extra confirmation indicators or tweak the exit rules? Always gotta protect that capital so we can buy that Lambo someday! π
Total de Operaciones | 448 | Beneficio Neto | -0.8% | Beneficio Compra y MantΓ©n | -0.7% |
Tasa de Ganancia | 37% | Ratio Riesgo/Recompensa | 1.62 | MΓ‘ximo Drawdown | -2.9% |
MΓ‘ximo Drawdown del Activo | -5.1% | ExposiciΓ³n | 55.1% | Promedio de Velas en PosiciΓ³n | 11.3 |
Ratio de Sharpe | Ratio de Sortino | Volatilidad Realizada | β | ||
Racha MΓ‘xima de Ganancia | 6 | Racha Promedio de Ganancia | 1.6 | Racha MΓ‘xima de PΓ©rdida | 11 |
Racha Promedio de PΓ©rdida | 2.6 | Promedio de Operaciones por Mes | 726.5 | Promedio de Operaciones por DΓa | 24.2 |
Desv. Est. del Retorno | 0.2 | Desv. Est. de la PΓ©rdida | 0.1 | Desv. Est. de la Ganancia | 0.1 |
Expectativa | -0.0 | Beta | 0.51 |
common.strategy | exposiciΓ³n | rendimiento vs activo | drawdown vs activo | tasa de ganancia | recompensa/ riesgo |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x | (-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x | 36 | 1.5 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x | (-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x | 37 | 1.3 |
GLD β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x | (-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x | 41 | 1.1 |
NVDA β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x | (-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x | 40 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x | (-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x | 38 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 1 Minute | 58% | (1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x | (-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x | 41 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x | (-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x | 38 | 1.5 |
WMT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x | (-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x | 37 | 1.6 |
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x | (-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x | 39 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x | (-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x | 40 | 1.4 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x | (-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x | 46 | 1.6 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x | (-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x | 44 | 1.4 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 60% | (121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x | (-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x | 47 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 59% | (7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x | (-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x | 44 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x | (-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x | 43 | 1.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x | (-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x | 45 | 1.7 |
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x | (-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x | 42 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x | (-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x | 39 | 1.5 |
GLD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x | (-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x | 43 | 1.8 |
NVDA β’ 1 Hour | 58% | (1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x | (-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x | 47 | 1.8 |
PLTR β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x | (-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x | 42 | 2.0 |
SPY β’ 1 Hour | 61% | (70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x | (-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x | 45 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Hour | 56% | (5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x | (-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x | 44 | 2.4 |
WMT β’ 1 Hour | 57% | (100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x | (-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x | 43 | 1.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ Daily | 57% | (379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x | (-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x | 43 | 2.3 |
EURUSD β’ Daily | 55% | (-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x | (-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x | 37 | 1.7 |
GLD β’ Daily | 57% | (301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x | (-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x | 46 | 1.9 |
NVDA β’ Daily | 59% | (14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x | (-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x | 46 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ Daily | 57% | (559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x | (-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x | 49 | 2.7 |
SPY β’ Daily | 65% | (117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x | (-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x | 47 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ Daily | 57% | (440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x | (-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x | 37 | 2.6 |
WMT β’ Daily | 59% | (476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x | (-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x | 45 | 1.6 |