Der Backtest umfasst 12.5 months von GLD β’ 10 Minutes (SPDR Gold Trust) Daten, von July 22, 2024 bis July 31, 2025.
Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.
Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.
Also haben wir Parabolic SAR flip ΓΌber 12.5 months von GLD β’ 10 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 339 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 46% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 1.56.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 1.56 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 39.1, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:
Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 57% Marktzeit 59.09% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 101.20% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.
All of the following: # India 10min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 10min Chart(close)
Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.
Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy on GLD is looking pretty decent! π Not gonna lie, the 22.1% net profit isn't crushing the buy & hold (37.4%), but there's some juicy stuff under the hood.
The risk metrics are what's getting me hyped here! That 1.56 risk/reward ratio is sweet, and we're running with a 46% win rate when we only need 39.1% to break even - that's a fat cushion right there! πͺ The max drawdown of -8.4% is totally manageable, especially for us Wendy's warriors who are used to seeing way scarier numbers in our portfolios lol.
The thing I'm really digging is the consistency - we're getting like 1.8 trades per day on average, so plenty of action without being too crazy. Plus that Sharpe ratio of 1.38 shows we're not just YOLOing here. Only thing that makes me a bit nervous is that 11-trade losing streak, but hey, that's what stop losses are for, right? If you're playing this with proper position sizing, this could be a solid addition to the portfolio! π― Not financial advice though, just what I'd do with my tendies! π
Gesamttrades | 339 | Nettogewinn | 22.1% | Buy & Hold Gewinn | 37.4% |
Gewinnrate | 46% | Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis | 1.56 | Maximaler Drawdown | -8.4% |
Asset Maximaler Drawdown | -8.3% | Exposition | 57.1% | Durchschn. Kerzen in Position | 15.8 |
Sharpe-Ratio | 1.38 | Sortino-Ratio | 1.06 | Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t | 11.46% |
Max. Gewinnserie | 7 | Durchschn. Gewinnserie | 1.9 | Max. Verlustserie | 11 |
Durchschn. Verlustserie | 2.2 | Durchschn. Trades pro Monat | 54.4 | Durchschn. Trades pro Tag | 1.8 |
Rendite Std Dev | 0.7 | Verlust Std Dev | 0.4 | Gewinn Std Dev | 0.6 |
Erwartungswert | 0.2 | Beta | 0.51 |
common.strategy | Exposition | Leistung vs Asset | Drawdown vs Asset | Gewinnrate | Risiko/Rendite |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x | (-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x | 36 | 1.5 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x | (-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x | 37 | 1.3 |
GLD β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x | (-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x | 41 | 1.1 |
NVDA β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x | (-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x | 40 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x | (-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x | 38 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 1 Minute | 58% | (1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x | (-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x | 41 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x | (-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x | 38 | 1.5 |
WMT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x | (-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x | 37 | 1.6 |
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x | (-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x | 39 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x | (-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x | 40 | 1.4 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x | (-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x | 46 | 1.6 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x | (-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x | 44 | 1.4 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 60% | (121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x | (-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x | 47 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 59% | (7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x | (-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x | 44 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x | (-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x | 43 | 1.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x | (-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x | 45 | 1.7 |
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x | (-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x | 42 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x | (-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x | 39 | 1.5 |
GLD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x | (-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x | 43 | 1.8 |
NVDA β’ 1 Hour | 58% | (1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x | (-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x | 47 | 1.8 |
PLTR β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x | (-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x | 42 | 2.0 |
SPY β’ 1 Hour | 61% | (70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x | (-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x | 45 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Hour | 56% | (5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x | (-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x | 44 | 2.4 |
WMT β’ 1 Hour | 57% | (100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x | (-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x | 43 | 1.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ Daily | 57% | (379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x | (-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x | 43 | 2.3 |
EURUSD β’ Daily | 55% | (-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x | (-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x | 37 | 1.7 |
GLD β’ Daily | 57% | (301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x | (-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x | 46 | 1.9 |
NVDA β’ Daily | 59% | (14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x | (-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x | 46 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ Daily | 57% | (559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x | (-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x | 49 | 2.7 |
SPY β’ Daily | 65% | (117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x | (-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x | 47 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ Daily | 57% | (440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x | (-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x | 37 | 2.6 |
WMT β’ Daily | 59% | (476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x | (-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x | 45 | 1.6 |