Parabolic SAR fliplong
Backtest-Ergebnisse @ GLD β€’ 10 Minutes

Eigenkapitalkurve

Der Backtest umfasst 12.5 months von GLD β€’ 10 Minutes (SPDR Gold Trust) Daten, von July 22, 2024 bis July 31, 2025.

Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.

Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.

Eigenkapitalkurve
Strategie
Asset
Strategie Drawdown
Asset Drawdown

Also haben wir Parabolic SAR flip ΓΌber 12.5 months von GLD β€’ 10 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 339 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 46% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 1.56.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 1.56 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 39.1, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:

  1. Gesamtrendite: Gesamtrendite: 22.10% vs 37.40% fΓΌr das Asset
  2. Maximaler Drawdown: Maximaler Drawdown: -8.40% vs -8.30% fΓΌr das Asset
  3. Exposition: Exposition: 57.10% Zeit im Markt
  4. Gewinnrate: Gewinnrate: 46.0%, vs 39.1% Minimum
  5. Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis: Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis: 1.56

Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 57% Marktzeit 59.09% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 101.20% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.

Parabolic SAR flip: Position eingehen wenn

All of the following: # India
  10min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 10min Chart(close)

Parabolic SAR flip: Position verlassen wenn

Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.

Parabolic SAR flip @ GLD β€’ 10 Minutes (22.1%) erklΓ€rt von Mike

Mike

Autor

Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy on GLD is looking pretty decent! πŸš€ Not gonna lie, the 22.1% net profit isn't crushing the buy & hold (37.4%), but there's some juicy stuff under the hood.

The risk metrics are what's getting me hyped here! That 1.56 risk/reward ratio is sweet, and we're running with a 46% win rate when we only need 39.1% to break even - that's a fat cushion right there! πŸ’ͺ The max drawdown of -8.4% is totally manageable, especially for us Wendy's warriors who are used to seeing way scarier numbers in our portfolios lol.

The thing I'm really digging is the consistency - we're getting like 1.8 trades per day on average, so plenty of action without being too crazy. Plus that Sharpe ratio of 1.38 shows we're not just YOLOing here. Only thing that makes me a bit nervous is that 11-trade losing streak, but hey, that's what stop losses are for, right? If you're playing this with proper position sizing, this could be a solid addition to the portfolio! 🎯 Not financial advice though, just what I'd do with my tendies! πŸ—

Tabellarische Metriken von Parabolic SAR flip getestet auf GLD β€’ 10 Minutes

Gesamttrades339Nettogewinn22.1%Buy & Hold Gewinn37.4%
Gewinnrate46%Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis1.56Maximaler Drawdown-8.4%
Asset Maximaler Drawdown-8.3%Exposition57.1%Durchschn. Kerzen in Position15.8
Sharpe-Ratio1.38Sortino-Ratio1.06Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t11.46%
Max. Gewinnserie7Durchschn. Gewinnserie1.9Max. Verlustserie11
Durchschn. Verlustserie2.2Durchschn. Trades pro Monat54.4Durchschn. Trades pro Tag1.8
Rendite Std Dev0.7Verlust Std Dev0.4Gewinn Std Dev0.6
Erwartungswert0.2Beta0.51

Alle Backtests fΓΌr Parabolic SAR flip

common.strategyExpositionLeistung vs AssetDrawdown vs AssetGewinnrateRisiko/Rendite
BTCUSDT β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x(-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x361.5
EURUSD β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x(-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x371.3
GLD β€’ 1 Minute
56%(-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x(-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x411.1
NVDA β€’ 1 Minute
56%(11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x(-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x402.0
PLTR β€’ 1 Minute
56%(-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x(-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x381.5
SPY β€’ 1 Minute
58%(1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x(-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x411.6
TSLA β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x(-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x381.5
WMT β€’ 1 Minute
55%(-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x(-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x371.6
BTCUSDT β€’ 10 Minutes
57%(3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x(-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x391.6
EURUSD β€’ 10 Minutes
56%(-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x(-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x401.4
GLD β€’ 10 Minutes
57%(22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x(-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x461.6
NVDA β€’ 10 Minutes
58%(24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x(-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x441.4
PLTR β€’ 10 Minutes
60%(121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x(-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x471.5
SPY β€’ 10 Minutes
59%(7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x(-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x441.4
TSLA β€’ 10 Minutes
56%(86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x(-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x431.7
WMT β€’ 10 Minutes
58%(37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x(-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x451.7
BTCUSDT β€’ 1 Hour
55%(40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x(-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x421.6
EURUSD β€’ 1 Hour
55%(-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x(-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x391.5
GLD β€’ 1 Hour
55%(61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x(-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x431.8
NVDA β€’ 1 Hour
58%(1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x(-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x471.8
PLTR β€’ 1 Hour
55%(538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x(-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x422.0
SPY β€’ 1 Hour
61%(70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x(-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x451.6
TSLA β€’ 1 Hour
56%(5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x(-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x442.4
WMT β€’ 1 Hour
57%(100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x(-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x431.8
BTCUSDT β€’ Daily
57%(379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x(-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x432.3
EURUSD β€’ Daily
55%(-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x(-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x371.7
GLD β€’ Daily
57%(301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x(-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x461.9
NVDA β€’ Daily
59%(14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x(-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x462.0
PLTR β€’ Daily
57%(559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x(-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x492.7
SPY β€’ Daily
65%(117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x(-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x471.4
TSLA β€’ Daily
57%(440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x(-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x372.6
WMT β€’ Daily
59%(476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x(-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x451.6