Der Backtest umfasst 69 days von BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes (Bitcoin vs Tether, Binance US) Daten, von May 23, 2025 bis July 31, 2025.
Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.
Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.
Also haben wir Parabolic SAR flip ΓΌber 69 days von BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 428 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 39% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 1.63.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 1.63 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 38.0, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:
Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 57% Marktzeit 68.09% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 90.60% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.
All of the following: # India 10min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 10min Chart(close)
Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.
Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy is looking kinda interesting! π The win rate might seem low at 39%, but check this out - the average wins are bigger than the losses (0.41% vs -0.25%), giving us that sweet 1.63 risk/reward ratio! That's what we're talking about! πͺ
The strategy is pretty active with about 12 trades per day, which is perfect for us Wendy's warriors trying to catch those quick gains between shifts! π What really gets me hyped is that win rate leeway - we're running 38.62% above what we need to be profitable. That's some serious cushion right there! Plus, those Sharpe and Sortino ratios are looking clean AF (2.28 and 3.55).
Only thing that's got me a bit concerned is that max drawdown of 10.6% - might need to save up a bit more from those Wendy's paychecks before going all in. But overall, this looks like it could be a solid strategy to stack some tendies! Just gotta manage that risk and not YOLO the whole account on one trade. π― NFA though, just a fellow degen sharing thoughts! π€
Gesamttrades | 428 | Nettogewinn | 3.2% | Buy & Hold Gewinn | 4.7% |
Gewinnrate | 39% | Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis | 1.63 | Maximaler Drawdown | -10.6% |
Asset Maximaler Drawdown | -11.7% | Exposition | 57.0% | Durchschn. Kerzen in Position | 12.0 |
Sharpe-Ratio | 2.28 | Sortino-Ratio | 3.55 | Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t | 22.64% |
Max. Gewinnserie | 6 | Durchschn. Gewinnserie | 1.5 | Max. Verlustserie | 10 |
Durchschn. Verlustserie | 2.4 | Durchschn. Trades pro Monat | 372.2 | Durchschn. Trades pro Tag | 12.4 |
Rendite Std Dev | 0.5 | Verlust Std Dev | 0.2 | Gewinn Std Dev | 0.5 |
Erwartungswert | 0.0 | Beta | 0.48 |
common.strategy | Exposition | Leistung vs Asset | Drawdown vs Asset | Gewinnrate | Risiko/Rendite |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x | (-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x | 36 | 1.5 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x | (-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x | 37 | 1.3 |
GLD β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x | (-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x | 41 | 1.1 |
NVDA β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x | (-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x | 40 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x | (-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x | 38 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 1 Minute | 58% | (1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x | (-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x | 41 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x | (-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x | 38 | 1.5 |
WMT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x | (-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x | 37 | 1.6 |
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x | (-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x | 39 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x | (-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x | 40 | 1.4 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x | (-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x | 46 | 1.6 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x | (-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x | 44 | 1.4 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 60% | (121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x | (-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x | 47 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 59% | (7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x | (-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x | 44 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x | (-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x | 43 | 1.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x | (-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x | 45 | 1.7 |
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x | (-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x | 42 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x | (-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x | 39 | 1.5 |
GLD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x | (-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x | 43 | 1.8 |
NVDA β’ 1 Hour | 58% | (1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x | (-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x | 47 | 1.8 |
PLTR β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x | (-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x | 42 | 2.0 |
SPY β’ 1 Hour | 61% | (70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x | (-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x | 45 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Hour | 56% | (5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x | (-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x | 44 | 2.4 |
WMT β’ 1 Hour | 57% | (100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x | (-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x | 43 | 1.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ Daily | 57% | (379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x | (-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x | 43 | 2.3 |
EURUSD β’ Daily | 55% | (-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x | (-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x | 37 | 1.7 |
GLD β’ Daily | 57% | (301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x | (-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x | 46 | 1.9 |
NVDA β’ Daily | 59% | (14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x | (-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x | 46 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ Daily | 57% | (559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x | (-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x | 49 | 2.7 |
SPY β’ Daily | 65% | (117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x | (-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x | 47 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ Daily | 57% | (440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x | (-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x | 37 | 2.6 |
WMT β’ Daily | 59% | (476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x | (-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x | 45 | 1.6 |