Der Backtest umfasst 37 days von WMT β’ 1 Minute (Walmart Inc.) Daten, von June 24, 2025 bis July 31, 2025.
Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.
Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.
Also haben wir Parabolic SAR flip ΓΌber 37 days von WMT β’ 1 Minute Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 448 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 37% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 1.62.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 1.62 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 38.2, um profitabel zu sein. Sie sind also am Arsch!Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:
Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 55% Marktzeit 114.29% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 56.86% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.
All of the following: # India 1min Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.02, 0.2, 0) < 1min Chart(close)
Exits as soon as None of the entry conditions are true any more.
Yo fam, this Parabolic SAR strategy on WMT is giving me mixed vibes! π€ The volume is pretty sick with 24 trades per day - that's the kind of action I'm looking for at Wendy's when we're slinging burgers! π
The stats are interesting but kinda sus tbh. That 37% win rate isn't great, but peep this - the average wins are bigger than the average losses (0.14% vs -0.08%). That's actually not terrible for scalping! The max drawdown is only -2.9% which is pretty chill compared to some of my previous YOLO plays π
Here's the thing though bros - the overall performance is slightly worse than buy & hold (-0.8% vs -0.7%). Not exactly the tendies we're looking for! But that Win Rate Leeway being positive is actually pretty bullish - means the strategy has room to breathe even with its current metrics. πͺ
I might experiment with this on paper trading first before throwing my hard-earned Wendy's cash at it. Maybe add some extra confirmation indicators or tweak the exit rules? Always gotta protect that capital so we can buy that Lambo someday! π
Gesamttrades | 448 | Nettogewinn | -0.8% | Buy & Hold Gewinn | -0.7% |
Gewinnrate | 37% | Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis | 1.62 | Maximaler Drawdown | -2.9% |
Asset Maximaler Drawdown | -5.1% | Exposition | 55.1% | Durchschn. Kerzen in Position | 11.3 |
Sharpe-Ratio | Sortino-Ratio | Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t | β | ||
Max. Gewinnserie | 6 | Durchschn. Gewinnserie | 1.6 | Max. Verlustserie | 11 |
Durchschn. Verlustserie | 2.6 | Durchschn. Trades pro Monat | 726.5 | Durchschn. Trades pro Tag | 24.2 |
Rendite Std Dev | 0.2 | Verlust Std Dev | 0.1 | Gewinn Std Dev | 0.1 |
Erwartungswert | -0.0 | Beta | 0.51 |
common.strategy | Exposition | Leistung vs Asset | Drawdown vs Asset | Gewinnrate | Risiko/Rendite |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-2.7%/0.5%) -5.40x | (-3.4%/-4.4%) 0.77x | 36 | 1.5 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-1.7%/-2.7%) 0.63x | (-1.9%/-3.3%) 0.58x | 37 | 1.3 |
GLD β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.4%/-0.9%) 4.89x | (-4.9%/-4.8%) 1.02x | 41 | 1.1 |
NVDA β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (11.3%/20.6%) 0.55x | (-3.2%/-5.3%) 0.60x | 40 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ 1 Minute | 56% | (-4.0%/10.4%) -0.38x | (-8.6%/-12.9%) 0.67x | 38 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 1 Minute | 58% | (1.4%/4.0%) 0.35x | (-2.0%/-1.5%) 1.33x | 41 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-5.0%/-9.9%) 0.51x | (-11.0%/-15.9%) 0.69x | 38 | 1.5 |
WMT β’ 1 Minute | 55% | (-0.8%/-0.7%) 1.14x | (-2.9%/-5.1%) 0.57x | 37 | 1.6 |
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (3.2%/4.7%) 0.68x | (-10.6%/-11.7%) 0.91x | 39 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (-1.3%/0.6%) -2.17x | (-2.3%/-3.6%) 0.64x | 40 | 1.4 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 57% | (22.1%/37.4%) 0.59x | (-8.4%/-8.3%) 1.01x | 46 | 1.6 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (24.3%/45.0%) 0.54x | (-28.0%/-42.8%) 0.65x | 44 | 1.4 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 60% | (121.1%/459.2%) 0.26x | (-45.7%/-46.5%) 0.98x | 47 | 1.5 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 59% | (7.9%/14.1%) 0.56x | (-16.1%/-20.7%) 0.78x | 44 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 56% | (86.8%/24.4%) 3.56x | (-30.8%/-55.3%) 0.56x | 43 | 1.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 58% | (37.0%/38.7%) 0.96x | (-12.4%/-23.8%) 0.52x | 45 | 1.7 |
BTCUSDT β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (40.1%/65.5%) 0.61x | (-25.5%/-30.6%) 0.83x | 42 | 1.6 |
EURUSD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (-3.2%/3.5%) -0.91x | (-7.5%/-9.0%) 0.83x | 39 | 1.5 |
GLD β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (61.4%/118.5%) 0.52x | (-21.7%/-22.2%) 0.98x | 43 | 1.8 |
NVDA β’ 1 Hour | 58% | (1284.1%/3304.6%) 0.39x | (-42.2%/-68.0%) 0.62x | 47 | 1.8 |
PLTR β’ 1 Hour | 55% | (538.0%/1459.0%) 0.37x | (-77.3%/-86.6%) 0.89x | 42 | 2.0 |
SPY β’ 1 Hour | 61% | (70.4%/104.7%) 0.67x | (-14.9%/-35.1%) 0.42x | 45 | 1.6 |
TSLA β’ 1 Hour | 56% | (5558.2%/1240.0%) 4.48x | (-40.4%/-75.1%) 0.54x | 44 | 2.4 |
WMT β’ 1 Hour | 57% | (100.4%/142.7%) 0.70x | (-18.3%/-26.9%) 0.68x | 43 | 1.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ Daily | 57% | (379.6%/1339.3%) 0.28x | (-68.0%/-76.6%) 0.89x | 43 | 2.3 |
EURUSD β’ Daily | 55% | (-1.5%/8.0%) -0.19x | (-17.8%/-23.3%) 0.76x | 37 | 1.7 |
GLD β’ Daily | 57% | (301.4%/585.6%) 0.51x | (-23.7%/-45.3%) 0.52x | 46 | 1.9 |
NVDA β’ Daily | 59% | (14739.3%/417479.9%) 0.04x | (-76.5%/-90.0%) 0.85x | 46 | 2.0 |
PLTR β’ Daily | 57% | (559.1%/1476.3%) 0.38x | (-50.4%/-84.9%) 0.59x | 49 | 2.7 |
SPY β’ Daily | 65% | (117.1%/1354.3%) 0.09x | (-48.3%/-56.7%) 0.85x | 47 | 1.4 |
TSLA β’ Daily | 57% | (440.9%/25131.3%) 0.02x | (-75.3%/-75.0%) 1.00x | 37 | 2.6 |
WMT β’ Daily | 59% | (476.7%/10620.7%) 0.04x | (-60.7%/-50.6%) 1.20x | 45 | 1.6 |