Diese Intraday-Breakout-Strategie versucht einzusteigen, sobald der Preis ΓΌber das Hoch der ErΓΆffnungskerze ausbricht, in jedem Stadium eines Tages. Sie nimmt Gewinn auf ErΓΆffnungsbereich Hoch + ErΓΆffnungsbereich GrΓΆΓe und hat einen Stop Loss auf ErΓΆffnungsbereich Tief. Sie trΓ€gt nie eine Position ΓΌber Nacht; sie steigt immer auf der letzten Kerze eines Tages aus, falls keine anderen Ausstiegsbedingungen erfΓΌllt wurden.
Der Backtest umfasst 35 days von BTCUSDT β’ 5 Minutes (Bitcoin vs Tether, Binance US) Daten, von June 28, 2025 bis August 3, 2025.
Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.
Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.
Also haben wir Buy at opening candle range breakout ΓΌber 35 days von BTCUSDT β’ 5 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 28 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 64% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 0.98.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 0.98 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 50.5, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Allerdings sind 28 Positionen eine kleine Stichprobe, nehmen Sie die Ergebnisse also mit einer groΓen Portion Skepsis.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:
Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 18% Marktzeit 38.60% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 23.60% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.
All of the following: # Papa 5min Opening range JS, Entry Signal emerged
All of the following: # X-ray 5min Opening range JS, Exit Signal emerged
Madre mΓa, this strategy is like a timid teenager at their first dance party! Only 28 trades in 35 days? That's pathetically low for a 5-minute timeframe!
Look, the win rate of 64% looks decent at first glance, but with such microscopic average wins of 0.28% and losses of -0.29%, you're basically running a glorified coin flip operation. And you're underperforming the buy & hold by more than half! That's embarassing, mi amigo. The market gave you 5.7% on a silver platter, and you managed to scrape together only 2.2%?
The only somewhat decent thing here are your risk metrics - the Sharpe and Sortino ratios aren't terrible, and the max drawdown of -2.1% is manageable. But honestly, with such low market exposure (17.9%), you're basically sitting on your hands most of the time while the market is making moves without you. This is like going to a fiesta and spending most of time checking your phone in the corner!
Either make this strategy more aggressive with more trades and better profit targets, or save yourself the trouble and just buy and hold. This current version is mediocre at best, and life is too short for mediocre trading strategies!
Gesamttrades | 28 | Nettogewinn | 2.2% | Buy & Hold Gewinn | 5.7% |
Gewinnrate | 64% | Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis | 0.98 | Maximaler Drawdown | -2.1% |
Asset Maximaler Drawdown | -8.9% | Exposition | 17.9% | Durchschn. Kerzen in Position | 59.6 |
Sharpe-Ratio | 2.75 | Sortino-Ratio | 5.38 | Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t | 8.16% |
Max. Gewinnserie | 5 | Durchschn. Gewinnserie | 3.0 | Max. Verlustserie | 3 |
Durchschn. Verlustserie | 1.7 | Durchschn. Trades pro Monat | 48.0 | Durchschn. Trades pro Tag | 1.6 |
Rendite Std Dev | 0.5 | Verlust Std Dev | 0.2 | Gewinn Std Dev | 0.5 |
Erwartungswert | 0.3 | Beta | 0.13 |
common.strategy | Exposition | Leistung vs Asset | Drawdown vs Asset | Gewinnrate | Risiko/Rendite |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 15% | (1.0%/4.2%) 0.24x | (-4.6%/-11.1%) 0.41x | 56 | 0.9 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 22% | (0.8%/2.1%) 0.38x | (-1.7%/-3.6%) 0.47x | 87 | 0.2 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 24% | (0.8%/39.2%) 0.02x | (-2.6%/-8.3%) 0.31x | 60 | 0.7 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 32% | (25.9%/41.7%) 0.62x | (-15.6%/-42.8%) 0.36x | 54 | 1.1 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 33% | (38.1%/439.0%) 0.09x | (-25.4%/-46.5%) 0.55x | 58 | 1.0 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 22% | (16.4%/12.3%) 1.33x | (-5.5%/-20.7%) 0.27x | 68 | 0.8 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 29% | (-7.9%/23.0%) -0.34x | (-34.7%/-55.3%) 0.63x | 60 | 0.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 32% | (13.3%/40.0%) 0.33x | (-9.1%/-23.8%) 0.38x | 63 | 0.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ 15 Minutes | 20% | (2.3%/33.4%) 0.07x | (-7.2%/-12.0%) 0.60x | 52 | 1.1 |
EURUSD β’ 15 Minutes | 27% | (3.9%/8.2%) 0.48x | (-1.4%/-4.3%) 0.33x | 83 | 0.3 |
GLD β’ 15 Minutes | 31% | (4.0%/66.4%) 0.06x | (-4.4%/-8.3%) 0.53x | 59 | 0.8 |
NVDA β’ 15 Minutes | 34% | (69.7%/211.7%) 0.33x | (-10.1%/-42.8%) 0.24x | 57 | 1.2 |
PLTR β’ 15 Minutes | 33% | (124.3%/846.9%) 0.15x | (-14.3%/-46.5%) 0.31x | 56 | 1.4 |
SPY β’ 15 Minutes | 24% | (13.3%/31.8%) 0.42x | (-4.4%/-21.1%) 0.21x | 62 | 0.8 |
TSLA β’ 15 Minutes | 27% | (16.3%/41.6%) 0.39x | (-20.0%/-55.6%) 0.36x | 56 | 0.9 |
WMT β’ 15 Minutes | 33% | (27.2%/83.0%) 0.33x | (-4.9%/-23.8%) 0.21x | 64 | 0.9 |
BTCUSDT β’ 30 Minutes | 21% | (-3.7%/14.3%) -0.26x | (-20.8%/-31.2%) 0.67x | 57 | 0.7 |
EURUSD β’ 30 Minutes | 35% | (-1.1%/5.7%) -0.19x | (-5.2%/-7.4%) 0.70x | 75 | 0.3 |
GLD β’ 30 Minutes | 34% | (11.1%/87.3%) 0.13x | (-6.9%/-11.8%) 0.58x | 55 | 1.0 |
NVDA β’ 30 Minutes | 34% | (58.6%/1089.5%) 0.05x | (-29.2%/-42.9%) 0.68x | 54 | 1.1 |
PLTR β’ 30 Minutes | 30% | (19.4%/1516.1%) 0.01x | (-41.6%/-48.4%) 0.86x | 54 | 0.9 |
SPY β’ 30 Minutes | 35% | (18.1%/65.6%) 0.28x | (-6.8%/-20.2%) 0.34x | 63 | 0.7 |
TSLA β’ 30 Minutes | 29% | (62.0%/33.8%) 1.83x | (-20.9%/-67.1%) 0.31x | 56 | 1.0 |
WMT β’ 30 Minutes | 32% | (32.0%/138.6%) 0.23x | (-6.5%/-23.8%) 0.27x | 58 | 1.1 |
BTCUSDT β’ 5 Minutes | 18% | (2.2%/5.7%) 0.39x | (-2.1%/-8.9%) 0.24x | 64 | 1.0 |
EURUSD β’ 5 Minutes | 23% | (0.7%/0.8%) 0.87x | (-0.7%/-3.7%) 0.19x | 88 | 0.2 |
GLD β’ 5 Minutes | 23% | (-3.0%/21.5%) -0.14x | (-7.3%/-8.0%) 0.91x | 61 | 0.5 |
NVDA β’ 5 Minutes | 29% | (14.6%/42.5%) 0.34x | (-9.3%/-38.8%) 0.24x | 61 | 0.9 |
PLTR β’ 5 Minutes | 26% | (18.3%/95.6%) 0.19x | (-14.7%/-46.6%) 0.32x | 55 | 1.1 |
SPY β’ 5 Minutes | 14% | (5.4%/3.4%) 1.59x | (-4.0%/-21.1%) 0.19x | 61 | 0.9 |
TSLA β’ 5 Minutes | 21% | (47.4%/-22.2%) -2.14x | (-7.1%/-48.5%) 0.15x | 68 | 0.9 |
WMT β’ 5 Minutes | 27% | (12.5%/1.2%) 10.42x | (-4.8%/-23.8%) 0.20x | 63 | 0.9 |