Diese Intraday-Breakout-Strategie versucht einzusteigen, sobald der Preis ΓΌber das Hoch der ErΓΆffnungskerze ausbricht, in jedem Stadium eines Tages. Sie nimmt Gewinn auf ErΓΆffnungsbereich Hoch + ErΓΆffnungsbereich GrΓΆΓe und hat einen Stop Loss auf ErΓΆffnungsbereich Tief. Sie trΓ€gt nie eine Position ΓΌber Nacht; sie steigt immer auf der letzten Kerze eines Tages aus, falls keine anderen Ausstiegsbedingungen erfΓΌllt wurden.
Der Backtest umfasst 3.1 years von PLTR β’ 30 Minutes (Palantir Technologies Inc.) Daten, von July 5, 2022 bis August 1, 2025.
Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.
Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.
Also haben wir Buy at opening candle range breakout ΓΌber 3.1 years von PLTR β’ 30 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 331 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 54% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 0.94.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 0.94 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 51.5, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:
Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 30% Marktzeit 1.28% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 85.95% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.
All of the following: # Papa 30min Opening range JS, Entry Signal emerged
All of the following: # X-ray 30min Opening range JS, Exit Signal emerged
Yo fam, this PLTR strategy is giving me some mixed vibes! π€ The win rate at 54% with that tight risk/reward isn't too shabby, and we're getting decent action with about 17 trades per month. That's enough to keep things spicy without overdoing it! πΆοΈ
The downside is we're only catching 19.4% profit over 3 years while PLTR itself went absolutely bonkers with that 1516% gain! π That's like watching your buddy YOLO into a 15-bagger while you're sitting there with chicken nugget money. But hey, the max drawdown is slightly better than the asset (-41.6% vs -48.4%), so there's that copium for ya! π
Looking at the shorter timeframes though, this thing's been picking up steam lately - that 21.5% gain in 6 months is pretty sweet. Plus that win rate leeway is thicc AF at 5348.5% above what we need! πͺ Maybe worth throwing some Wendy's paychecks at it, but definitely not betting the whole farm. Might be good for some side hustle gains while keeping risk in check! π―
Gesamttrades | 331 | Nettogewinn | 19.4% | Buy & Hold Gewinn | 1516.1% |
Gewinnrate | 54% | Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis | 0.94 | Maximaler Drawdown | -41.6% |
Asset Maximaler Drawdown | -48.4% | Exposition | 29.9% | Durchschn. Kerzen in Position | 8.0 |
Sharpe-Ratio | 0.48 | Sortino-Ratio | 0.06 | Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t | 23.12% |
Max. Gewinnserie | 11 | Durchschn. Gewinnserie | 2.2 | Max. Verlustserie | 7 |
Durchschn. Verlustserie | 1.8 | Durchschn. Trades pro Monat | 17.7 | Durchschn. Trades pro Tag | 0.6 |
Rendite Std Dev | 2.6 | Verlust Std Dev | 2.4 | Gewinn Std Dev | 1.7 |
Erwartungswert | 0.1 | Beta | 0.13 |
common.strategy | Exposition | Leistung vs Asset | Drawdown vs Asset | Gewinnrate | Risiko/Rendite |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTCUSDT β’ 10 Minutes | 15% | (1.0%/4.2%) 0.24x | (-4.6%/-11.1%) 0.41x | 56 | 0.9 |
EURUSD β’ 10 Minutes | 22% | (0.8%/2.1%) 0.38x | (-1.7%/-3.6%) 0.47x | 87 | 0.2 |
GLD β’ 10 Minutes | 24% | (0.8%/39.2%) 0.02x | (-2.6%/-8.3%) 0.31x | 60 | 0.7 |
NVDA β’ 10 Minutes | 32% | (25.9%/41.7%) 0.62x | (-15.6%/-42.8%) 0.36x | 54 | 1.1 |
PLTR β’ 10 Minutes | 33% | (38.1%/439.0%) 0.09x | (-25.4%/-46.5%) 0.55x | 58 | 1.0 |
SPY β’ 10 Minutes | 22% | (16.4%/12.3%) 1.33x | (-5.5%/-20.7%) 0.27x | 68 | 0.8 |
TSLA β’ 10 Minutes | 29% | (-7.9%/23.0%) -0.34x | (-34.7%/-55.3%) 0.63x | 60 | 0.7 |
WMT β’ 10 Minutes | 32% | (13.3%/40.0%) 0.33x | (-9.1%/-23.8%) 0.38x | 63 | 0.8 |
BTCUSDT β’ 15 Minutes | 20% | (2.3%/33.4%) 0.07x | (-7.2%/-12.0%) 0.60x | 52 | 1.1 |
EURUSD β’ 15 Minutes | 27% | (3.9%/8.2%) 0.48x | (-1.4%/-4.3%) 0.33x | 83 | 0.3 |
GLD β’ 15 Minutes | 31% | (4.0%/66.4%) 0.06x | (-4.4%/-8.3%) 0.53x | 59 | 0.8 |
NVDA β’ 15 Minutes | 34% | (69.7%/211.7%) 0.33x | (-10.1%/-42.8%) 0.24x | 57 | 1.2 |
PLTR β’ 15 Minutes | 33% | (124.3%/846.9%) 0.15x | (-14.3%/-46.5%) 0.31x | 56 | 1.4 |
SPY β’ 15 Minutes | 24% | (13.3%/31.8%) 0.42x | (-4.4%/-21.1%) 0.21x | 62 | 0.8 |
TSLA β’ 15 Minutes | 27% | (16.3%/41.6%) 0.39x | (-20.0%/-55.6%) 0.36x | 56 | 0.9 |
WMT β’ 15 Minutes | 33% | (27.2%/83.0%) 0.33x | (-4.9%/-23.8%) 0.21x | 64 | 0.9 |
BTCUSDT β’ 30 Minutes | 21% | (-3.7%/14.3%) -0.26x | (-20.8%/-31.2%) 0.67x | 57 | 0.7 |
EURUSD β’ 30 Minutes | 35% | (-1.1%/5.7%) -0.19x | (-5.2%/-7.4%) 0.70x | 75 | 0.3 |
GLD β’ 30 Minutes | 34% | (11.1%/87.3%) 0.13x | (-6.9%/-11.8%) 0.58x | 55 | 1.0 |
NVDA β’ 30 Minutes | 34% | (58.6%/1089.5%) 0.05x | (-29.2%/-42.9%) 0.68x | 54 | 1.1 |
PLTR β’ 30 Minutes | 30% | (19.4%/1516.1%) 0.01x | (-41.6%/-48.4%) 0.86x | 54 | 0.9 |
SPY β’ 30 Minutes | 35% | (18.1%/65.6%) 0.28x | (-6.8%/-20.2%) 0.34x | 63 | 0.7 |
TSLA β’ 30 Minutes | 29% | (62.0%/33.8%) 1.83x | (-20.9%/-67.1%) 0.31x | 56 | 1.0 |
WMT β’ 30 Minutes | 32% | (32.0%/138.6%) 0.23x | (-6.5%/-23.8%) 0.27x | 58 | 1.1 |
BTCUSDT β’ 5 Minutes | 18% | (2.2%/5.7%) 0.39x | (-2.1%/-8.9%) 0.24x | 64 | 1.0 |
EURUSD β’ 5 Minutes | 23% | (0.7%/0.8%) 0.87x | (-0.7%/-3.7%) 0.19x | 88 | 0.2 |
GLD β’ 5 Minutes | 23% | (-3.0%/21.5%) -0.14x | (-7.3%/-8.0%) 0.91x | 61 | 0.5 |
NVDA β’ 5 Minutes | 29% | (14.6%/42.5%) 0.34x | (-9.3%/-38.8%) 0.24x | 61 | 0.9 |
PLTR β’ 5 Minutes | 26% | (18.3%/95.6%) 0.19x | (-14.7%/-46.6%) 0.32x | 55 | 1.1 |
SPY β’ 5 Minutes | 14% | (5.4%/3.4%) 1.59x | (-4.0%/-21.1%) 0.19x | 61 | 0.9 |
TSLA β’ 5 Minutes | 21% | (47.4%/-22.2%) -2.14x | (-7.1%/-48.5%) 0.15x | 68 | 0.9 |
WMT β’ 5 Minutes | 27% | (12.5%/1.2%) 10.42x | (-4.8%/-23.8%) 0.20x | 63 | 0.9 |