Buy at opening candle range breakoutlong
Backtest-Ergebnisse @ TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes

Diese Intraday-Breakout-Strategie versucht einzusteigen, sobald der Preis über das Hoch der Erâffnungskerze ausbricht, in jedem Stadium eines Tages. Sie nimmt Gewinn auf Erâffnungsbereich Hoch + Erâffnungsbereich Grâße und hat einen Stop Loss auf Erâffnungsbereich Tief. Sie trÀgt nie eine Position über Nacht; sie steigt immer auf der letzten Kerze eines Tages aus, falls keine anderen Ausstiegsbedingungen erfüllt wurden.

Eigenkapitalkurve

Der Backtest umfasst 18.7 months von TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes (Tesla, Inc.) Daten, von January 17, 2024 bis August 1, 2025.

Die Eigenkapitalkurve zeigt die Leistung der Strategie im Zeitverlauf. Sie sollten sie mit der Buy & Hold Performance des Assets vergleichen. Im Allgemeinen sollte der blaue Bereich deutlich ΓΌber dem grauen Bereich liegen.

Drawdown zeigt, wie viel Verluste (realisiert oder nicht realisiert) die Strategie im Vergleich zum hΓΆchsten Eigenkapitalpeak hatte. Vergleichen Sie dies mit dem Drawdown des Assets, um zu sehen, ob Ihre Strategie eine anstΓ€ndige Arbeit leistet, Sie von AbwΓ€rtsvolatilitΓ€t zu isolieren. Im Allgemeinen muss der rote Bereich gut innerhalb des grauen Bereichs liegen.

Eigenkapitalkurve
Strategie
Asset
Strategie Drawdown
Asset Drawdown

Also haben wir Buy at opening candle range breakout ΓΌber 18.7 months von TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes Kerzen getestet.Β Dieser Backtest ergab 193 Positionen, mit einer durchschnittlichen Gewinnrate von 56% und einem Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis von 0.88.Β Wenn Sie annehmen, dass das 0.88 Risiko-Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis gilt, benΓΆtigen Sie eine Mindestgewinnrate von 53.2, um profitabel zu sein. Sie stehen also gut da.Β Die wichtigsten Metriken sind wie folgt:

  1. Gesamtrendite: Gesamtrendite: 16.30% vs 41.60% fΓΌr das Asset
  2. Maximaler Drawdown: Maximaler Drawdown: -20.00% vs -55.60% fΓΌr das Asset
  3. Exposition: Exposition: 26.90% Zeit im Markt
  4. Gewinnrate: Gewinnrate: 56.0%, vs 53.2% Minimum
  5. Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis: Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis: 0.88

Mit dieser Exposition kΓΆnnen Sie erkennen, dass Sie bei 27% Marktzeit 39.18% des Asset-AufwΓ€rtspotenzials und 35.97% des Asset-AbwΓ€rtspotenzials erhalten.

Buy at opening candle range breakout: Position eingehen wenn

All of the following: # Papa
  15min Opening range JS, Entry Signal emerged

Buy at opening candle range breakout: Position verlassen wenn

All of the following: # X-ray
  15min Opening range JS, Exit Signal emerged

Buy at opening candle range breakout @ TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes (16.3%) erklΓ€rt von Alex C, Sarah

Alex C

Autor

The backtest results show some interesting patterns, but I am not fully convinced about the strategy's robustness. Let me explain why.

The win rate of 56% combined with a risk/reward ratio of 0.88 is actually not bad at all. What makes me concerned is the significant difference between strategy performance (16.3%) and buy & hold (41.6%). This suggests the strategy might be missing important moves in the market. The market exposure of only 26.9% confirms this - we are staying out of the market too much of the time.

The volatility metrics are quite interesting - the strategy's realized volatility (20.14%) is much lower than the asset's (67.11%). This means we are doing good job at risk management, but maybe we are being too conservative. The maximum drawdown of -20% is acceptable for TSLA trading, but the Sharpe ratio of 0.38 and negative Sortino ratio (-0.21) tell me the strategy is not generating enough excess returns for the risk it takes. The correlation of 0.33 shows we are not just following the market blindly - that's good.

I would suggest optimizing the entry conditions to increase market exposure while maintaining the solid win rate. Maybe we could look at adjusting the range breakout parameters to catch more moves. But overall, the strategy shows promise - it just needs some fine-tuning to improve its risk-adjusted returns.

Sarah

Autor

Madre mΓ­a, this strategy is like a mediocre student trying to pass with minimal effort! Let me tell you why this is not impresive at all.

First, you're severely underperforming the market - 16.3% net profit versus 41.6% buy & hold? That's pathetic! You're basically losing money by trying to be clever instead of just buying and holding like a simpleton. The market exposure of 26.9% shows you're missing most of the actual moves, which explains the poor performance.

The risk metrics are absolutely terrible. A Sortino ratio of -0.21? That's embarassing! And that 20% maximum drawdown with such low market exposure is like getting a sunburn while sitting in the shade - it shouldn't happen! The Sharpe ratio of 0.38 is something I wouldn't even show to my worst enemy.

The only slightly decent thing here is the Win Rate of 56% with a 5.5% leeway above minimal required - but even this is nothing to write home about when your Risk/Reward ratio is below 1 (0.88). You're basically winning more often but losing more money when you lose - esta estrategia es una mierda completa!

If you're going to waste time implementing this strategy, you might as well just throw darts at a chart - might get better results!

Tabellarische Metriken von Buy at opening candle range breakout getestet auf TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes

Gesamttrades193Nettogewinn16.3%Buy & Hold Gewinn41.6%
Gewinnrate56%Risiko/Rendite-VerhΓ€ltnis0.88Maximaler Drawdown-20.0%
Asset Maximaler Drawdown-55.6%Exposition26.9%Durchschn. Kerzen in Position13.0
Sharpe-Ratio0.38Sortino-Ratio-0.21Realisierte VolatilitΓ€t20.14%
Max. Gewinnserie9Durchschn. Gewinnserie2.0Max. Verlustserie6
Durchschn. Verlustserie1.6Durchschn. Trades pro Monat20.6Durchschn. Trades pro Tag0.7
Rendite Std Dev1.8Verlust Std Dev1.1Gewinn Std Dev1.1
Erwartungswert0.1Beta0.1

Alle Backtests fΓΌr Buy at opening candle range breakout

common.strategyExpositionLeistung vs AssetDrawdown vs AssetGewinnrateRisiko/Rendite
BTCUSDT β€’ 10 Minutes
15%(1.0%/4.2%) 0.24x(-4.6%/-11.1%) 0.41x560.9
EURUSD β€’ 10 Minutes
22%(0.8%/2.1%) 0.38x(-1.7%/-3.6%) 0.47x870.2
GLD β€’ 10 Minutes
24%(0.8%/39.2%) 0.02x(-2.6%/-8.3%) 0.31x600.7
NVDA β€’ 10 Minutes
32%(25.9%/41.7%) 0.62x(-15.6%/-42.8%) 0.36x541.1
PLTR β€’ 10 Minutes
33%(38.1%/439.0%) 0.09x(-25.4%/-46.5%) 0.55x581.0
SPY β€’ 10 Minutes
22%(16.4%/12.3%) 1.33x(-5.5%/-20.7%) 0.27x680.8
TSLA β€’ 10 Minutes
29%(-7.9%/23.0%) -0.34x(-34.7%/-55.3%) 0.63x600.7
WMT β€’ 10 Minutes
32%(13.3%/40.0%) 0.33x(-9.1%/-23.8%) 0.38x630.8
BTCUSDT β€’ 15 Minutes
20%(2.3%/33.4%) 0.07x(-7.2%/-12.0%) 0.60x521.1
EURUSD β€’ 15 Minutes
27%(3.9%/8.2%) 0.48x(-1.4%/-4.3%) 0.33x830.3
GLD β€’ 15 Minutes
31%(4.0%/66.4%) 0.06x(-4.4%/-8.3%) 0.53x590.8
NVDA β€’ 15 Minutes
34%(69.7%/211.7%) 0.33x(-10.1%/-42.8%) 0.24x571.2
PLTR β€’ 15 Minutes
33%(124.3%/846.9%) 0.15x(-14.3%/-46.5%) 0.31x561.4
SPY β€’ 15 Minutes
24%(13.3%/31.8%) 0.42x(-4.4%/-21.1%) 0.21x620.8
TSLA β€’ 15 Minutes
27%(16.3%/41.6%) 0.39x(-20.0%/-55.6%) 0.36x560.9
WMT β€’ 15 Minutes
33%(27.2%/83.0%) 0.33x(-4.9%/-23.8%) 0.21x640.9
BTCUSDT β€’ 30 Minutes
21%(-3.7%/14.3%) -0.26x(-20.8%/-31.2%) 0.67x570.7
EURUSD β€’ 30 Minutes
35%(-1.1%/5.7%) -0.19x(-5.2%/-7.4%) 0.70x750.3
GLD β€’ 30 Minutes
34%(11.1%/87.3%) 0.13x(-6.9%/-11.8%) 0.58x551.0
NVDA β€’ 30 Minutes
34%(58.6%/1089.5%) 0.05x(-29.2%/-42.9%) 0.68x541.1
PLTR β€’ 30 Minutes
30%(19.4%/1516.1%) 0.01x(-41.6%/-48.4%) 0.86x540.9
SPY β€’ 30 Minutes
35%(18.1%/65.6%) 0.28x(-6.8%/-20.2%) 0.34x630.7
TSLA β€’ 30 Minutes
29%(62.0%/33.8%) 1.83x(-20.9%/-67.1%) 0.31x561.0
WMT β€’ 30 Minutes
32%(32.0%/138.6%) 0.23x(-6.5%/-23.8%) 0.27x581.1
BTCUSDT β€’ 5 Minutes
18%(2.2%/5.7%) 0.39x(-2.1%/-8.9%) 0.24x641.0
EURUSD β€’ 5 Minutes
23%(0.7%/0.8%) 0.87x(-0.7%/-3.7%) 0.19x880.2
GLD β€’ 5 Minutes
23%(-3.0%/21.5%) -0.14x(-7.3%/-8.0%) 0.91x610.5
NVDA β€’ 5 Minutes
29%(14.6%/42.5%) 0.34x(-9.3%/-38.8%) 0.24x610.9
PLTR β€’ 5 Minutes
26%(18.3%/95.6%) 0.19x(-14.7%/-46.6%) 0.32x551.1
SPY β€’ 5 Minutes
14%(5.4%/3.4%) 1.59x(-4.0%/-21.1%) 0.19x610.9
TSLA β€’ 5 Minutes
21%(47.4%/-22.2%) -2.14x(-7.1%/-48.5%) 0.15x680.9
WMT β€’ 5 Minutes
27%(12.5%/1.2%) 10.42x(-4.8%/-23.8%) 0.20x630.9